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Opinion

Why Felix Auger-Aliassime is a dark horse to win the ATP Finals

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Felix Auger-Aliassime has produced a remarkable end-of-season run to qualify for his second ATP Finals.

Auger-Aliassime’s qualification for the Finals was confirmed on Saturday following Lorenzo Musetti’s loss to Novak Djokovic in the Athens Open final.

The Canadian was a significant outsider heading into the latter portion of the season, but his run to the US Open semi-finals put him in contention with two months of the campaign remaining.

He will now play Ben Shelton, Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev for a place in the ATP Finals last four.

Felix Auger-Aliassime of Canada celebrates a point against Jannik Sinner of Italy during the Men's Singles Final match on day seven of the Rolex Paris Masters.
Photo by Franco Arland/Getty Images

Although Auger-Aliassime is seeded seventh in Turin, he is a player who should not be underestimated by his peers.

Felix Auger-Aliassime’s superb indoor record in 2025

Felix Auger-Aliassime holds the third-best record at Indoor events in 2025, behind only Jannik Sinner and Ugo Humbert.

Auger-Aliassime has won indoor events in Montpellier and Brussels this year, and a total 2025 record of 15-3 at indoor events.

PlayerIndoor Win/LossWin Percentage
Jannik Sinner10-0100
Ugo Humbert11-284.6
Felix Auger-Aliassime15-383.3
Casper Ruud13-381.3
Alex de Minaur12-380
Denis Shapovalov9-375
Corentin Moutet9-375
Daniil Medvedev10-471.4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina8-466.7
Joao Fonseca6-366.7

What must be noted is that the Canadian has played eight more indoor matches than Sinner, and six more than Humbert.

The 25-year-old’s proficiency on indoor hard courts has long been recognised: of the Canadian’s nine titles, eight have come on indoor hard courts.

His only non-indoor title was won at the 2025 Adelaide Open: an outdoor hard-court event.

Since the US Open, Auger-Aliassime has won the Brussels Open and made the Paris Masters final.

In that final, he proved his worth against Jannik Sinner, despite losing the match 4-6, 6-7.

The Canadian is a force to be reckoned with on indoor hard courts, and with the ATP Finals being held on the very same surface, Auger-Aliassime is a sure-fire bet to advance far at the tournament.

Auger-Aliassime has qualified for the ATP Finals once before, in 2022. He failed to advance past the round robin stage on that occasion.

Auger-Aliassime’s first ATP Tour title

Felix Auger-Aliassime won his first ATP Tour title at the 2022 Rotterdam Open – an indoor hard-court event.

The Canadian, seeded third, defeated Yegor Gerasimov, Andy Murray and Cameron Norrie on his way to the quarter-finals, where he beat Andrey Rublev 6-7, 6-4, 6-2.

In the final, Auger-Aliassime defeated top seed Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4, 6-2.

Felix Auger-Aliassime of Canada in action during the final match in singles against Stefanos Tsitsipas of Greece at the 49th ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournement 2022 at Ahoy on February 13, 2022 in Rotterdam.
Photo by Henk Seppen/BSR Agency/Getty Images

The triumph snapped Auger-Aliassime’s eight-match losing streak in ATP finals.

As reported by BBC Sport, after defeating Tsitsipas in the final, the Canadian said: “It is the happiest day of my career and hopefully it is the first of many to come.”