Mirra Andreeva will play Marta Kostyuk in the 2026 Madrid Open final.
The Russian is ranked 15 places above the Ukrainian and has two WTA 1000 titles to her name, whilst Kostyuk has yet to win at this level.
Who do you think will win the women’s Madrid Open final? 🏆
After Andreeva defeated Hailey Baptiste in the semi-finals, she was asked if she considered herself the favourite for the final.
Mirra Andreeva doesn’t consider herself the favourite for the Madrid Open final
Asked the question before the second semi-final between Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova, Andreeva said the following.
“No, I don’t consider myself the favourite for the match because I know that whoever gets to the final is a tough opponent,” she said.
“I’ve learned not to care about the rankings of my opponent or, you know, the last name of my opponent as well.
“I’m just going to try to go on court and do the things that I have to do to really focus on the game plan that we create with Conchita [Martinez], and that’s the only thing I can control.
“I cannot control the future. I cannot control the results or the outcome, so that doesn’t depend on me.
“In the final, I will just try to do everything that I can control, and then we will see what’s going to happen.”
A reporter then told Andreeva that when Aryna Sabalenka lost to Baptiste in the quarter-finals, she became the highest-ranked player left in the competition.
“Well, I haven’t thought about it until you just told me that,” she said.
“Honestly, I don’t know. I guess I would just say that every player who is playing in the semi-final and every player who advances further in the tournament obviously is playing great and is having a great run.
“So, for me, I just told myself that it wouldn’t matter who I would play against, I would just try to make my opponent’s life very complicated if she wants to beat me. If she beats me, then, okay, I will just try to be proud and shake her hand and say, Okay, good job, you earned the win, and there’s nothing else I can do.
“But obviously, if she beats me, then, you know, she’s going to have to really work for it. And that’s the kind of mindset I had coming into this match, and I will try to have the same mindset when I will be playing the final.”
Andreeva doesn’t believe she is the favourite to win the final, but what happened the last time she played Kostyuk?
The Russian and Ukrainian have only met once before, in Brisbane earlier this year.
There, Kostyuk defeated Andreeva in straight sets, 7-6, 6-3, to reach the semi-finals.
Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk – Match stats
| Stats | Mirra Andreeva | Marta Kostyuk |
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2 |
| 1st Serve % | 60% | 69% |
| Win % on 1st Serve | 65% | 67% |
| Win % on 2nd Serve | 46% | 62% |
| Break points | 2/6 | 4/8 |
Andreeva will be hoping to level their head-to-head at 1-1 when they meet on Saturday in the Madrid Open final.
How good has Mirra Andreeva been in 2026?
The 19-year-old has already won two titles this year, in Adelaide and Linz.
Andreeva currently sits fourth in the ‘Live WTA Race’, but could move into third with a win in Saturday’s final.
Live WTA Race
| Rank | Name | Country | Points | 2026 Titles |
| 1 | Elena Rybakina | Kazakhstan | 4,103 | 2 (Australian Open, Stuttgart Open) |
| 2 | Aryna Sabalenka | Belarus | 4,015 | 3 (Brisbane International, Indian Wells, Miami Open) |
| 3 | Jessica Pegula | USA | 2,970 | 2 (Dubai Tennis Championships, Charleston Open) |
| 4 | Mirra Andreeva | Russia | 2,713 | 2 (Adelaide International, Linz Open) |
| 5 | Elina Svitolina | Ukraine | 2,460 | 1 (ASB Classic) |
| 6 | Karolina Muchova | Czechia | 2,270 | 1 (Qatar Open) |
| 7 | Victoria Mboko | Canada | 1,937 | – |
| 8 | Coco Gauff | USA | 1,923 | – |
| 9 | Marta Kostyuk | Ukraine | 1,365 | 1 (Open de Rouen) |
| 10 | Belinda Bencic | Switzerland | 1,307 | – |
The Russian narrowly missed out on a WTA Finals spot in 2025, but looks in good shape to qualify this year.
Kostyuk, on the other hand, could move to within touching distance of a top-eight qualifying spot with a win in the Madrid Open final.
Only time will tell who will emerge victorious in Madrid, but you certainly won’t want to miss any of the action.
