Analysis reveals who will dominate tennis whilst Jannik Sinner serves his doping ban
With Jannik Sinner starting his ban it’s a fascinating moment to look at the analysis and reveal who could take advantage and dominate men’s tennis over the coming months.
Let’s dive deep into the data reflecting the performance of the top 10 players from the ATP Race rankings to see who is the one to beat in the coming weeks – including the Sunshine Double events – during Jannik Sinner’s absence.
The serving statistics highlight Sinner’s exceptional dominance, all recorded during his triumphant AO run. Despite not being an ace machine, Sinner won an outstanding 95.4% of his service games, thanks to his highly efficient first serve and ability to handle pressure. He allows the fewest Pressure Points on serve on average and defends them with the highest accuracy of all players.
Novak Djokovic has also noted a strong start to 2025. Aside from his first-serve points, his overall serving stats reflect remarkable consistency at a high level, aligning with the ambitions of a true champion for the rest of the year.
Among the top contenders, Denis Shapovalov has the most room for improvement. The Canadian leads the field in aces, averaging 0.9 per game, but also struggles with erratic play, committing 0.58 double faults per game. Despite this inconsistency, he secured the title in Dallas, signaling potential for further success with refinements to his game.
The return statistics highlight Carlos Alcaraz’s impressive evolution into a complete player. The Spaniard leads in multiple return areas, excelling in winning return games and posing a serious threat on opponents’ first serves. He also wins the most Pressure Points in return games, proving his ability to capitalize on crucial moments.
Alex de Minaur and Tommy Paul have also built their strong results on exceptional return play. Their top performance in all the return areas – especially making the immense threat on second serve, creating and converting multiple breakpoints – suggest that those two can be growing threat for the established order, already occupying the places in the top 10 of ATP rankings.
The TennisRatio Power Index – a comprehensive metric combining various aspects of performance – places Jannik Sinner at the top before his suspension. The Italian not only dominated his opponents on the court but also efficiently converted his performances into victories, culminating in his Grand Slam triumph in Melbourne.
With Sinner temporarily sidelined, Alcaraz emerges as the player to watch. He demonstrates exceptional balance and currently holds a slight edge over the rest in terms of dominance and match-winning efficiency. Djokovic’s third-place ranking in the Power Index reflects not only his remarkable longevity and readiness to compete at the highest level but also suggests he has room to improve his conversion of strong performances into victories.
Alexander Zverev rounds out the top four all-around players, practically forming a temporary “Big Three” alongside Alcaraz and Djokovic. These three stand a little step ahead of the rest as the strongest favorites heading into the upcoming ATP 1000 events in Indian Wells and Miami.
Data supplied by TennisRatio.com, helping to visualize the performance statistics of the best ATP/WTA tennis players. Their analysis focusses on who performs best on serve and return, who dominates their opponents and who’s game most efficiently translates into results.
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