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Why Coco Gauff winning Wimbledon from this position would be the most impressive victory in 11 years

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Having beaten Jessica Pegula in the quarter-finals, Coco Gauff is now just two wins away from a maiden Wimbledon title.

Gauff is the top seed remaining in the competition, and the only player to have won a Grand Slam title.

Some have argued the Wimbledon draw looks weak at this stage of the competition, although that’s not entirely true.

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The semi-final line-up is now confirmed…

In fact, the numbers suggest that if Gauff were to lift the trophy on Saturday afternoon, her victory would be the most impressive in over a decade at the All England Club.

Coco Gauff is a part of the most competitive Wimbledon semi-final line-up since 2015

Gauff will be joined by Karolina Muchova, Linda Noskova, and Marta Kostyuk in the last four.

The quartet has an average WTA ranking of 10.25, and all four players sit inside the world’s top 15.

2026 Wimbledon women’s singles semi-final line-up

That makes the 2026 Wimbledon women’s singles semi-final line-up the most competitive in 11 years.

Wimbledon women’s singles semi-final line-ups

YearSemi-finalistsAverage ranking
2026Coco Gauff, Karolina Muchova, Linda Noskova, Marta Kostyuk10.25
2025Aryna Sabalenka, Amanda Anisimova, Belinda Bencic, Iga Swiatek13
2024Barbora Krejcikova, Elena Rybakina, Donna Vekic, Jasmine Paolini20
2023Elina Svitolina, Marketa Vondrousova, Ons Jabeur, Aryna Sabalenka31.5
2022Elena Rybakina, Simona Halep, Ons Jabeur, Tatjana Maria36.5
2021Ashleigh Barty, Angelique Kerber, Karolina Pliskova, Aryna Sabalenka11.5
2019Serena Williams, Barbora Strycova, Elina Svitolina, Simona Halep19.75
2018Jelena Ostapenko, Angelique Kerber, Julia Gorges, Serena Williams54
2017Garbine Muguruza, Magdalena Rybarikova, Venus Williams, Johanna Konta30
2016Serena Williams, Elena Vesnina, Angelique Kerber, Venus Williams15.75
2015Serena Williams, Maria Sharapova, Garbine Muguruza, Agnieszka Radwanska9.5
Wimbledon women’s singles semi-final line-ups – Source: tennisabstract.com

The last time the semi-finalists were higher-ranked than they are this year was in 2015.

2015 Wimbledon women’s singles semi-final line-up

Then, the world number one and the world number four, Serena Williams and Maria Sharapova, were joined by top-20 stars Agnieszka Radwanska and Garbine Muguruza.

So, while the 2026 Wimbledon semi-finalists may not have the star power of recent years, the quality of the four players should not be undersold.

Coco Gauff celebrates winning her quarter-final match at Wimbledon.
Photo by Visionhaus/Getty Images

If Gauff is to win her first Wimbledon title this year, there will be no asterisk next to her triumph, at least not one that discredits her.

Who won the Wimbledon women’s singles title in 2015?

In a stacked semi-final line-up, Williams took on Sharapova, and Radwanska played Muguruza.

Williams defeated her long-time rival, Sharapova, in straight sets, 6-2, 6-4, advancing to her eighth Wimbledon final, where she met Muguruza.

Collecting her sixth Wimbledon women’s singles title, Williams beat Muguruza 6-4, 6-4, on Centre Court.

Serena Williams celebrates after winning Wimbledon in 2015.
Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images

Gauff would love nothing more than to follow in her idol’s footsteps and win Wimbledon this year.

To do so, she must beat Muchova in the semis and Noskova or Kostyuk in the final.

Gauff will fancy her chances of reaching the final, having beaten Muchova in six of their seven career meetings.

Although she will remember losing their last encounter at the Stuttgart Open in April.

Coco Gauff and Karolina Muchova’s head-to-head record (6-1)

Provided she doesn’t slip up again, Gauff will look forward to a Wimbledon final against Noskova or Kostyuk.

She has a winning head-to-head record against both players (2-1 vs Noskova and 3-2 vs Kostyuk), but will be well aware of how dangerous they can be.

There is work to do before the final, though, as Gauff prepares to play Muchova on Thursday, July 9.