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Why Carlos Alcaraz’s French Open withdrawal may actually be bad news for Jannik Sinner

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Carlos Alcaraz has withdrawn from the 2026 French Open due to a wrist injury.

On Friday, Alcaraz announced his withdrawal from Roland Garros on social media.

How worried are you about Carlos Alcaraz’s injury?

Carlos Alcaraz will miss Rome and Roland Garros…

With Alcaraz out, all eyes turn to Jannik Sinner, who now has a golden opportunity to complete his Career Grand Slam in Paris.

But there is a chance that Alcaraz’s withdrawal actually works against the world number one…

Jannik Sinner will be under immense pressure to win the French Open following Carlos Alcaraz’s withdrawal

As the two-time defending champion, however fit he was, Alcaraz would have entered the French Open as one of the big favourites.

So despite Sinner being a point away from winning last year’s French Open, he could have travelled to Paris without the pressure of being the overwhelming favourite.

Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner pose with their trophies after the 2025 French Open final
Photo by Franco Arland/Getty Images

Unfortunately, that is no longer the case.

With all due respect to the rest of the field, Sinner could lose every match he plays between now and the beginning of the French Open and would still be the favourite to lift the title.

The tournament is in effect his to lose.

Sinner will feel that pressure, especially with the Career Grand Slam on the line.

Jannik Sinner’s pursuit of the Career Grand Slam

Grand SlamFirst titleWin %
Australian Open202484%
French Open79%
Wimbledon202583%
US Open202479%
Jannik Sinner’s pursuit of the Career Grand Slam

It cannot be understated how difficult it is to win tournaments when everyone expects you to.

And it’s also worth remembering that Sinner has only enjoyed limited success on clay.

The Italian has only won two career titles on the surface, the second of which came earlier this month in Monte Carlo.

Jannik Sinner reacts during the 2026 Madrid Open
Photo by David Ramos/Getty Images

How many players have entered the French Open as an overwhelming favourite with just two clay-court titles to their name? Not many…

Sinner will be under immense pressure now that Alcaraz has withdrawn, although it is tough to argue that his route to the title just got a whole lot easier.

He lost to Alcaraz in last year’s final and the 2024 semi-finals.

Jannik Sinner’s French Open record

If, and it’s a big if, Sinner can handle the pressure, he may well be a five-time Grand Slam champion come June.

Jannik Sinner wins tough opening match in Madrid

Sinner won’t want to worry himself with French Open talk just yet, though, as he continues his search for a fifth consecutive Masters 1000 title in Madrid.

Receiving a bye into the second round, Sinner played the world number 104, Benjamin Bonzi.

Few believed Bonzi stood a chance, but the Frenchman rose to the occasion, taking the first set in a tiebreaker on Manolo Santana.

Benjamin Bonzi celebrates against Jannik Sinner in Madrid
Photo by Ion Alcoba Beitia/Getty Images

He was, however, unable to maintain his level and lost the next two sets, as Sinner won 6-7, 6-1, 6-4.

The Italian will return to take on Denmark’s Elmer Moller in the third round on Sunday, April 26.